A 2-4 week has me thinking I will never crack the .500 mark this season. Luckily I hit a parlay to break even money wise, but I’m sure you all could care less about that. I think everyone has found this season a little strange in that there aren’t a ton of contenders that cover the spread every week, and looking through the lines I was shocked to see that there wasn’t one double digit favorite. What does this mean? Even the odds makers are a little befuddled by this season! The highest spread is New Orleans -9 at home. Speaking of NO, is it just me or are they the least hyped defending champs ever? I don’t hear the morning FOX, CBS, or ESPN gangs raving about anything the Saints are doing, and aren’t they the champs until someone knocks them off? I guess not in this Twitter age. The Patriots and Jets must be the only teams worthy of our attention, so the networks have led me to believe. I just can’t get over how many people were on their bandwagon last year and now, no love at all. What gives?!?
What gives is right! As in, what gives with a 2-3 record last week!? Well I am a firm believer in karma, or getting your “just dues”, and the way I was approaching my picks last week, like it was some sort of guaranteed 5-0 event, let’s just say I got what I deserved with those results. Time to get myself back on the positive side this week. On a side note, the Bo Sox just signed Carl Crawford!? Looks like Bean Town’s the new “Evil Empire” in baseball …
Week 13 (By 2-3, Chap 2-4) Overall (By 32-29-4, Chap 33-38-3)
Indianapolis @ Tennessee (+3)
By picks Indy (-3). I will beat this horse dead, but I’m not going to stop riding it. Wait, does that even make sense? I guess what I’m trying to say is, I’m not jumping off the Peyton Manning ship just yet, especially in a must win scenario at a division rival. As horrible as Manning has been these past three weeks, he’s still one of the greatest QB’s to ever play the game, which in my book, means something. He will right the ship this week and trust his guys more. On the other side of the ball, Tennessee is a mess. Vince Young, Randy Moss, need I say more?
Oakland @ Jacksonville (-4)
Chappy picks Jacksonville (-4). As pumped as I was to see the Raiders break out the brooms for the season sweep of the Chargers, this might be their toughest test yet. Flying across the country to play the first place Jags in the early game is a lot to ask for a team that takes two steps forward, and usually one step back every time they are considered good. In fact I think the Raiders are a prime example of how this NFL season as a whole has gone, it changes week to week on who is the best or crème of the crop. I’ve been wrong on about seven weeks with the Raiders, so in an effort to keep their season meaningful, I hope this pick works as a reverse jinx.
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (-9.5)
Chappy picks Cincinnati (+9.5). If there’s one thing you can give the Bengals credit for is that they usually cover the spread. They like to score a bunch of points after they fall behind by 21, and rally enough to close within a touchdown with time winding down in the fourth to make the game look a lot closer than it was picking apart prevent defenses. The Steelers are bruised and battered limping into this game after a huge win against Baltimore. Will they take this game lightly after that big win? Maybe a little, but the best part about this match up is that they are usually a shootout. For as long as I can remember the over is the safest bet when these two teams match up. The over is 39.5, and their last meeting in Cincy ended with a 27-20 score, you do the math.
New York Giants @ Minnesota (+2.5)
By picks N.Y. (-2.5). Stop me if you’ve heard this before, Favre injured, questionable for Sunday’s game, ends up playing and sucking. That’s exactly what I expect from him this week. The Vikes are playing for nothing, while the Giants are in the hunt for the NFC East lead. They’d need the Eagles to stumble, but they have to take care of business themselves. And now with Thunder & Lightning back on track, the Giants are that much more difficult to stop. G-Men big in this one.
Chappy picks NY Giants (-2.5). Both of these teams beat bad teams last weekend convincingly. The sole reason I’m picking the Giants in this one is because they are 100 times better than Buffalo at pounding the QB and stopping the run. The Vikes face their first good opponent since Childress was sent packing. With Favre looking like a 40-year-old, I’ll take my chances with Eli. Even if Tavaris gets out there, I’d still take my chances with Eli. I can’t really stand either of these teams, so that’s all I have to say about them…
Kansas City @ San Diego (+7)
By picks San Diego (+7). This one’s a tough one to pick, my original thought was that K.C. would man-handle the Bolts, but upon seeing the +7 on paper, I’m having a sudden change of heart. Philip Rivers is still in the hunt for league MVP honors (although probably out of the chase for Marino) and he must be fuming coming off his first professional loss in the month of December. At home to the Raiders while in the hunt for a playoff spot too. I expect him to go off against the Chiefs. Problem is, the Chiefs should go off against the Chargers defense too! I think the Chiefs still pull this out, but by a field goal at best.
Green Bay (-6.5) @ Detroit
Chappy picks Green Bay (-6.5). Aaron Rodgers has had a hot hand lately, and he will need to keep that up with GB sporting a non-existent ground game. Detroit has been decent this year, but always finds ways to lose. I see Stanton making too many mistakes and the Packers D pulls out a few turnovers keeping them up by a TD. Plus at 2-10 I think the Lions are ready to give up on this year. Hopefully Megatron is too since I’m against him in a playoff match up for fantasy!
New England (-3) @ Chicago
Chappy picks New England -3. Who would’ve thought this would be the game of the week between two division leaders. The Patriots win by trickeration, and getting the right match ups going for them all over the field. The Bears are very predictable especially on defense where they run basically the same cover 2 scheme all game. The Bears win ugly, the Patriots win pretty, that sums these two teams up. I’ll take pretty over ugly today, and the AFC’s best over one of the NFC’s best any weekend. All that being said this could be like the Browns game and the Bears could surprise a lot of people. Damn, I couldn’t even convince myself on that one…
Philadelphia @ Dallas (+3.5)
By picks Philadelphia (-3). My other favorite for league MVP is Mike Vick. He’s been unbelievable this season, and I have the Eagles playing the Falcons in the NFC championship game, mostly because of him. Not to discredit Philly’s other weapons on offense, and they obviously have a lot of weapons. For Dallas, I’m sorry but the feel good story has to end sometime, and that sometime is now. Jason Garrett has done enough to prove his worthiness to be the coach moving forward, and a loss here won’t hurt the public’s opinion of him. Philly by at least 7.
Baltimore @ Houston (+3)
By picks Baltimore (-3). After another classic black and blue battle that did live up to the expectations (ahem the N.Y. Jets at New England Patriots on Monday) left Baltimore with a sour taste in their mouth, I expect them to take out their frustrations and anger on a once again over rated Houston Texans team. I love Andre Johnson, and Arian Foster has been a fantastic story this season, but no. Not against the Ravens. Joe Flacco, Ray Lewis and company take care of business.