Chappy: Off to a terrific start to the gambling season, I mean NFL season, and I’m already feeling better than I did last year. I think we all learned more about teams in week 1’s 16 games than we did in all 60 preseason games combined. It seems like a thousand things happened in only one week of football, but that’s probably because we over analyze everything. Let’s keep all this good mojo we got going, and get on to the picks for week 2!
By: A quick blurb. It’s week two, and I still feel so grateful that we are even watching football, maybe the effects of it won’t wear off at all this year. People don’t realize how much they appreciate watching a game until it’s almost taken away from them. Perhaps that’s the reason why Chappy and I were on fire during opening week, look at that winning percentage right there! We got a good thing back with football, and we weren’t blowing picks on just any game. We were focused. We were determined. We still are. Although I must apologize ahead of time to Chaps, I think I just jinxed us for the rest of the season there … I guess we’ll find out soon enough. On to the lines!
Last Week: Chappy (3-1-1) By (3-1)
Kansas City @ Detroit (-8.5)
Chappy picks Detroit (-8.5). Under normal conditions I’d never take the Lions to beat any team by more than a touchdown. I don’t think the Chiefs offense will be nearly as bad as they were against Buffalo as Bowe and Charles are bound to have better games, but their defense is awful. How do you let Ryan Fitzpatrick rip you a new one. I mean the Chiefs didn’t land at #32 in our power rankings for no reason! I don’t see the Chiefs having any answers for Megatron as he’ll knock the cornerbacks off him like nats without Eric Berry roaming the secondary. I see a close first half and a dominating second half for the Lions.
Arizona @ Washington (-4)
By picks Washington (-4). Am I really going with a team that has Rex Grossman running the show? You bet your bottom dollar I am! It’s not that I’m high on Grossman, but Arizona didn’t exactly impress me squeaking by Carolina at home last week. Yes, Cam Newton went off, but what many are neglecting to ask is, how much of that was due to bad defense? Cam Newton can’t really be that good, can he? While not blown away by Washington’s opening performance, I did take notice. Ultimately, my prediction is Grossman puts together a string of solid games to start the season, then returns to his “Hyde” form shortly after, throwing plenty of picks, and throwing away chances at wins along the way. But for the time being, the Redskins ride their high all the way to their second consecutive home victory by at least 10 points. Keep your eye on Tim Hightower as well, he’ll have a bit of a chip on his shoulder facing his old team.
Oakland @ Buffalo (-3.5)
Chappy picks Oakland (+3.5). I’m never a big fan of picking my team especially when they are travelling to the eastcoast to play an early game when they just played a Monday night game, but I can’t help myself. I actually have hope they can win outside the division this year, and hopefully it will start this week. A lot has changed since their last match up three years ago. Jamarcus was our starting QB, Buffalo still believed in Marshawn. Now both these teams look somewhat competent coming out of the gates. I love the way the Raiders are trying to be the bullies they were back in their glory days. In the MNF game they tried to give Denver chances to win with many ugly penalties, but maybe they learned something (probably not). I see them at least covering the spread.
Tampa Bay @ Minnesota (-3)
By picks Minnesota (-3). The Vikings did everything in their power to lose their season opening game at San Diego. They begged Philip Rivers to bring the Chargers back, and that’s exactly what he did. The Chargers are also said to be contenders in the opinions of many. Conversely, Tampa Bay, last season’s surprise, got flat out beat by Detroit at home. This makes the Vikings loss the more impressive of the two, or the lesser between two evils. To Tampa’s credit, a lot is expected from the Lions this season, but I said in last week’s predictions, that I felt Tampa would use this season as an opportunity to take two steps back from last season’s success, and nothing that happened in week one has me thinking otherwise. It should be a close game late, until Tampa subjects to some growing pains, making some crucial mistakes, while AP goes nuts. I have a strange feeling AP goes over 200 in this game. Vikings by 6.
Chappy picks Baltimore (-6). The Ravens were easily the most impressive team last weekend while destroying their division foes, but like Terell Suggs said “You’re only as good as your next game”. That kind of attitude has me believing in this team more than I thought I would. There’s nothing not to like about Ray Rice right now, He was snatched up just before my first pick in both my fantasy drafts. I see their defense being able to contain CJ and possibly making Rice the best running back in the game right now. If they can stay healthy, they are going to be tough for any team to beat. Hasselbeck had a decent game for Tennessee last week, but he’s always one play away from being out for the year. Baltimore can deliver those kinds of blows, and will rattle the veteran at some point during the game into a turnover or two.
Cincinnati @ Denver (-5)
By picks Denver (-5). Listen, I’m probably more pro Tebow than anyone outside of Jesus, but even I know Tebow isn’t Denver’s best option at quarterback yet. The Broncos ran into a highly motivated, and talented Raiders team, that ran wild on them. That’s not really Kyle Orton’s fault. I don’t believe the Broncos are a playoff contender, but I do believe they have more to offer than what was shown last Monday. It’s the fans in Denver that are making them seem worse than what they really are. The Bengals won their first game by fluke, and when pitted against a team that would like nothing more than to shut their own fans up, Kyle Orton goes ape shit and adds another 400 yard game to the calendar, while the Bengals reveal their true stripes. Denver by 14.
Green Bay @ Carolina (+9.5)
Chappy picks Green Bay (-9.5). Cam was spectacular in his debut. I’ll be honest, I didn’t see it coming. I thought he’d be okay this year, as in, better than Tebow, but not 422 yards good. While it was a nice story for week 1, he still lost, and the Packers are going to roll out a lot of defensive schemes that will make him look like the rookie he is. If AZ can put up 28 on Carolina’d D, there’s no reason to think the Packers can’t put up 50 without breaking a sweat. I wouldn’t be shocked to see this line jump to 10 before the weekend (I wrote this on Wednesday, and low and behold the line is 10!). Too many people betting on Green Bay I see, they still look plenty attractive with the adjusted half point to the line!
Chappy: San Diego (+6.5). Whoa, four picks for the road teams this week. Hopefully this works out. It seems like everyone has the Chargers somewhere between 5-8 in their power rankings, yet the Patriots are a touchdown favorite for this game?!? It feels like this line should be more in the 4 range, because the last three times they’ve hooked up the games have been decided by 4 or less points. Granted the Patriots looked amazing in their opener, while the Chargers looked a little rusty, but both over matched their opponent throughout their respective games. One thing I think we can all agree on is that both these offenses are great. Another thing we can probably agree on is that the Chargers have the better defense, and a few recievers as big as Brandon Marshall with a better QB than Chad Henne throwing to them. I hope SD loses by six or less!
Philadelphia @ Atlanta (+3)
By picks Philadelphia
You didn’t think I was only going to pick teams with home games this week, did you? You didn’t think I was going to turn my back on the Eagles, did you? If you said no to those questions, you thought right! Although if there’s one team that could steal away a vote from me towards Philly in a match up, it would be the Falcons. Matty Ice, Roddy Roddy Piper White, Julio Jones, Tony Gonzalez and Burner Turner. That’s a lot of weapons, and despite being held in check out in Chicago last week, no one expects this high octane offense to stall any further. With that said, Mike Vick has been amazing since last season, and the balance on Philly’s offense, as well as the ability for the Eagles to hit a home run on any given play gives them the edge here. I think the Eagles win by 6 in a barn burner, 40-34 in what will easily be the game of the week. Vick returns to Atlanta too, drama …