The theme of the NBA playoffs seems to be the youth movement. Aside from the Mavs, all three teams left are fairly young, and look like they’ll be around for years to come, which had me thinking more about the future than this year. Today I was looking at the Memphis and OKC rosters for the next few years, and there was one thing that stood out to me, how can they keep these cores together? There’s a couple of reasons I think a team like Memphis has a better chance than OKC at sustaining success for the next six years like say Miami and Chicago probably will too. The reason I decided to compare Memphis and OKC is because they are both small market teams that are very young.
I’ll start with the Grizzlies, since it’s a team that for some reason has grown on me a lot over the season. What made Memphis successful this season? Their size and scrappiness on defense. Their size with Marc Gasol and Z-Bo is tough to match for any team. Z-Bo already got his extension, and obviously Gasol is going to be making more than $3M next year and every year after that, so Gasol is priority #1 for them this off-season. They have a bargain PG in Conley locked up for five years, who seems to be slowly getting better even though barely anyone had faith in him (myself included). They will also have Rudy Gay back in the lineup next year. He’s been labeled over rated, but if you saw him play much this year you’d know that isn’t the case, and he might even be worth his huge contract when it’s all said and done. The media talk about Gay has bugged me, because everyone seems to think he is Joe Johnson part II, when a) he’s five years younger than Joe, and b) he gets more steals, rebounds, and blocks than Joe (ie. plays defense). Am I the only one that thinks it’s obsured that people think they need to trade Rudy Gay? After Gay played with team USA on the gold medal run this year, he seemed to get it, which is a time when normally players seem to figure it out (mid-20’s) or be destined to never figure it out. Unfortunately for us (and him), he broke his arm during the last month of the regular season, so he wasn’t around this year in the playoffs, and now he should be traded!?! Really!?! My question for those people calling for them to trade Gay is, are you really putting a lot of stock in OJ (I play no defense and am a little crazy) Mayo. That’s what you’d be replacing Gay with in the long term if they’re building from in house talent. Tony Allen and OJ Mayo both feel like 6th men types to me, and you can find them elsewhere if you need to. Tony Allen is a shut down defensive guy, but is limited in offense. OJ is great when asked to help out the offense, but doesn’t play defense as we saw Harden torching him over and over. Gay plays both ways, and no, I’m not sure on his sexual prefrences, but I do know he works as hard on defense as his offense. He also made a few game winners this year if you didn’t remember, don’t you think he would’ve helped in that triple OT game when they needed a clutch bucket from anyone badly? I do, and think this is a team that hasn’t reached it’s full potential as Gay, Conley, and Gasol will all improve. As I said in the past, Memphis has a bright future for at least the next five years.
The curious case of OKC. They currently have a roster that has ALL their big names at or under the age of 22, which seems great on the outside looking in. It’s amazing to me that everyone thinks that everything will be great for them for the next decade when there will be a ton of franchise changing decisions on the horizon. It’s a team that has dealt with little as far as basketball careers go, since almost all of the important players except Perkins and Durant are still on their rookie contracts. What I understand about this team is this, Durant works harder than anyone on the team, he’s their best player, it rubs off on everyone else, etc., but does it rub others the wrong way on how he’s mister perfect? I’m asking Westbrook this question as I go along, because he’s the main player that you have to question within this team. Forget all the ill-advised shots he took against the Grizzlies, the real question becomes does he want to be Robin or does he want to be Derrick Rose (aka Superman) on his OWN team?
Does Westbrook have the Scottie Pippen and Lebron gene that says “I’m okay being the sidekick”? From what I’ve observed, I feel like Westbrook has more of an alpha type personality than Durant as far as being demonstrative on and off the court. At times we saw him ignore Durant during the game, which begs the question if we have to pick one, who is it? If you didn’t pick Durant your fooling yourself. Yes, I understand that the way this team was built was genius, and the envy of the league at the moment, but how sustainable is this team? They picked Ibaka, Harden, Maynor, and Westbrook all in the top five, and all of them are going to be asking for their paydays once they are done playing for these very friendly rookie contracts they are currently in. I think Ibaka just started playing hoops last week and is getting better by the game, so aren’t he and Westbrook going to command top dollar? Would they stay to play with Durant for the sake of winning or do either of them think they can do it on their own elsewhere? That might not even be the biggest question for them moving forward. Money is a funny thing that can lure anyone away from anywhere, and I’m sure Ibaka has some homies that need help in the Congo. Westbrook was born and raised in LA, and doesn’t it seem likely with his alpha type character he’d want to try to spread his wings on his own to see if he can lead a team like Derrick Rose is? I’m not saying that this team is going to get blown up for sure, but you have to wonder in a small market like thiers how big is that window. You’d think with them all being so young it would be a decade long window, but at the moment I just don’t see it being anywhere near that long. The Heat and Grizzlies both have their cores locked up for a lot longer than the Thunder do. The 2012-13 season might be their last hurrah as a group together, and if that’s the case, Miami and Memphis will still have their cores locked up for three more years after that. All I’m saying is that this groups window might only be three years, and I’m praying I’m right since I’d love to see Durant getting frustrated and leaving so his paychecks aren’t signed by Clay Bennett anymore…
May 16th, 2011 at 5:44 pm
This was good, I liked the post, and I loved watching Game 7. Your spot on with everything you said, especially about Westbrook and Durant.
Care to check out my blog please? It’s mainly about sports:
May 17th, 2011 at 6:01 am
All of those teams are set for the future (exception of the Mavs) . As you rightfully said though the Mavs’ window of opportunity has repeatedly opened and closed . If they can’t do it now then they’ll never do it .
I see the “Sperminator” dropped a bomb shell that he fathered a child outside of his marriage ? From ” governator ” to class clown much like his party affiliate Trump !
May 17th, 2011 at 8:41 am
Good stuff as always, Chap.
At this point, for these two young teams, it’ll boil down to some good general managing over the next few years.
Can these teams satisfy their roster and coaches by keeping the same key pieces in place while adding and subtracting?
That remains to be seen.
May 17th, 2011 at 2:14 pm
Yeah, I feel like the Thunder are going to have a real hard time keeping this team together. Another thing I was thinking about with Durant is if he doesn’t win a championship by the time his contract is up 2015-16, he’ll only be 26 years old. By then will he want to move on and try out the bigger market or a different team? We know he won’t have a show called the decision, but the Thunder could lose him even though he likes the area and organization…
May 17th, 2011 at 2:24 pm
@chappy81 right on man, I’m hoping they don’t lose Durant though…..he’s such a good player… the team would collapse without him
May 17th, 2011 at 2:57 pm
Well, call me a hater, but I HATE Presti and Bennett. They hijacked this team from Seattle, so I feel like I have to root against them. I almost died when they had the chance to pick Stephen Curry (but picked Harden), because they would’ve had my two favorite college players over that time period… I love Durant and his game, but I’d much rather see him in a different uni dominating the league…
May 17th, 2011 at 2:59 pm
Ahh well everyones got their opinions but either way, wish Durant the best 🙂
May 18th, 2011 at 8:26 am
Do The Right Thing
Too Late To Apologize
May 18th, 2011 at 12:53 pm
Just when I thought the Thunder were ready to play they end up laying a goose egg against the Mavs .
If you’re the Royals’ Vin Mazzaro after giving up (19-1 Royals’ loss) 14 runs in 2 1/3 innings against the Indians what should you do ? Go home and bury your head in an oven having turned it on ? Two call your mother-in-law a bi_ch in the hope your wife’s family lays a can of whup a_s on you ? Or simply retire from the game of baseball ?
May 18th, 2011 at 12:57 pm
Futility Is Simply Another Word For Failure So What ?
It’s Our Ball And If You Want To Play ……. Then You Have To Pay