Chappy: I’m not sure what exactly is going on through the first four weeks, but I like it, especially since it’s all about offensive battles opposed to defensive battles. Is it bad the league doesn’t care about defensive rules? Who knows, but I’m glad to be a collector rather than a giver from the bookie on Mondays. I can’t remember a start to the gambling season like the one I’ve been on since I was a waiter in college. Back then I had no idea I was being sucked in by an unusual lucky streak to start off my football betting career. Just after having said all that, this week’s lines are tough with only three lines over 6 points. That bodes well for the watchability of all the match ups this weekend.
By: Is that Chappy on fire with a winning ratio of two to one, and me two games above .500? Yeah, that’s us. I guess we kind of know a little bit what we’re talking about here when it comes to these lines, huh? I’m sure it’s mostly luck, but still, I’ll take it. Unfortunately when I looked at my parlay card this week, I lost all confidence, as the lines are killer. I can honestly say I don’t stand firm behind any of my picks this week. I’m merely crossing my fingers and hoping for the best. On to the lines ~
Last Week: Chappy (4-1) By (3-1)
Overall: Chappy (12-6-1) By (9-7)
New Orleans @ Carolina (+6.5)
Chappy picks New Orleans (-6.5). Last weekend at the bar, I was fixated on the TV showing Cam taking on the Bears. He’s already one of those athletes that make it hard to take your eye off of. He had a pretty good game, and could’ve won it if it weren’t for a Devin Hester return. Anyways, as much as I like Cam, he won’t beat New Orleans. The Saints defense isn’t highly thought of after that first game against the unstoppable Packers, but since that game they’ve been pretty solid. I feel like the Saints will be able to find a way to stop Steve Smith, because who else does Cam throw to? Drew Brees teaches Cam a trick or two while beating them by more than a TD.
By picks Carolina (+7). Carolina sports a 1-3 record, which is not very good, but if you delve deeper you will find they’re better than what their current record indicates. They haven’t lost a game by more than a touchdown, and they’ve had opportunities to win late in each contest they’ve played this season. They’re currently 1-1 at home, but the loss came at the hands of Green Bay, no harm in that. While I still think Drew Brees and company pull out the win, I’m convinced that a crowd all abuzz about Cam Newton pushes the Panthers to take the Saints to the limit. To me, this game has game winning field goal written all over it, which is beneficial to Carolina either way.
Kansas City @ Indianapolis (-3)
By picks Indianapolis (-3). This is a disgusting game to tackle, but I’m feeling dirty. I know the Chiefs finally got off the schneid last week at home versus Minnesota, but it was against Minnesota. That’s got to be the most shameful way of getting your first win. By beating Minnesota. In fact, the only more shameful way of getting your first win is by beating the Chiefs. After they beat Minnesota. And that’s exactly what’s going to happen Sunday for the Colts. Listen, Curtis Painter didn’t show me a lot last Monday, but he did show me something, he showed he can keep Tampa’s defense honest with some decent throws. The Colts play makers are still there, and perhaps Pierre Garcon’s outburst will light a fire to them and give them some belief that they can still be relevant on the field without Manning. Ultimately, it just comes down to me thinking the Colts have got to get their win in now, or else the talks of a 0-16 season start stirring. Oh, and my apologies to the Chiefs, Colts and Vikings fans out there. What I said about them is mean.
Cincinnati @ Jacksonville (-2.5)
Chappy picks Cincinnati (+2.5). When I first read this line, I thought it was backwards and was still thinking of picking Cincy. Andy Dalton feels like he’s moving in the right direction with AJ Green already being his go to receiver, while Blaine Gabbert can’t seem to get any solid footing in his limited time in the NFL. Gabbert has played better than Luke McCown, but is that really saying anything positive? The Bengals just beat the up and coming Bills last weekend, and have been close in every game, so there’s no reason to not take the points here. They kinda remind me of the cardiac cats back when Carson was leading the team. Maybe they rebuilt faster than we thought!
By picks Jacksonville (-2.5). I read what Chappy wrote about this match up, and I couldn’t agree more. Except in the end result. While the Bengals are the better team and have a nice piece in place in Andy Dalton, and an absolutely unstoppable force in the making with AJ Green, they’re still a relatively young and inexperienced team on offense, which means they don’t know how to pull away from teams they’re supposed to beat. Cincinnati’s record shows they’ve only been in close games this season, and a close game means Jacksonville will utilize the run more. So we’ll probably see more Pocket Hercules from the Jags this week as oppose to last. Despite Blaine Gabbert’s mediocre start, his upside is far greater than that of Andy Dalton, and I have a gut feeling he flashes a glimpse of what he’s capable of this week. My prediction, home field wins out, and MJD’s punishes the Bengals for a late costly mistake. Jags by 4.
New York Jets @ New England (-9)
Chappy picks New England (-9). It’s been crazy how lifeless the Jets have been so far this season. I thought they’d be playing a lot tougher, but maybe it’s just time to blow them up and start over. The last time the Jets went to New England they beat them in the playoffs. Don’t think New England doesn’t remember that, and you never want a pissed off Pats team coming your way. The trip before that one to Foxboro was in the regular season and ended in a 45-3 win for the Pats. I see this game being more like that one than the playoff game. Then again, with Nick Mangold back being able to keep Sanchez off his backside, and if Jerod May can’t play they could put up some serious keep up points. I’m still upset the Raiders didn’t take more advantage of Mayo being out.
Philadelphia @ Buffalo (+3)
By picks Philadelphia (-3). I have too much personal shit invested into this match up. There, that’s the disclaimer. If I influence your picks at all, perhaps it’s best you stay away from this one. First off, Buffalo was up 17-3 into the third quarter versus the Bengals last week. With the other picks on my parlay card winning handedly already, it seemed like foregone conclusion I would be getting paid out. Long story short, the Bills blew it. Now I’m pissed at them. Don’t come between me and my money Buffalo. Don’t do it. Meanwhile, the Eagles decided to demonstrate the fundamentals of a melt down against my 49ers, allowing us to somehow win a game we were dominated in. Thank you Philly, I now like you. Unfortunately for the Eagles, the Cowboys decided to upstage them in the choke department, proving once again, division rivals will go to great lengths to out do each other. In all seriousness, this week the Eagles will prove they are as good as advertised, while the Bills get exposed for the pretenders they really are. (Assholes).
San Diego @ Denver (+4)
Chappy picks San Diego (-4). I’m actually hoping I’m wrong with this pick. I’d lose a bet to see the Chargers lose, but in realityville, I don’t see it happening. SD hasn’t really played that well, but they’ve slept walked through an easy early schedule to a 3-1 record. I hope there’s no Tebow chants, because that means the Broncos are losing. If there are some Tebow chants, at least I’ll get a laugh out of it and a winning bet. Rivers is having an off year for some reason, but there’s no place like Denver to get yourself going. I’m sure they’ll take a thing or two out of Green Bay’s playbook after showing them how to put up 49 on them last weekend.
Chicago @ Detroit (-5.5)
Chappy picks Detroit (-5.5). I can’t jump off the bandwagon of a team that’s 3-1 ATS for me. I think if this was in Chicago, I’d hesitate on this pick a lot more, but in the Lions only home game so far this year they put up 43 on the Chiefs. I think the home crowd helps younger teams more than it would an older team, which is why I picking them in this game. Plus, Detroit’s front four against the Bears O-line = Cutler on his back all game long. Chicago plays their cover-2 all game long, so I see Calvin catching a short pass, and breaking free to watch himself score a TD on the Ford Field Megatron.
October 6th, 2011 at 2:28 pm
I’d rather see the Jets lifeless than kickin’ some New England Patriots’ tail ! Joe Namath has already began to p@@s off Rex Ryan and Mark Sanchez with his outspoken criticism of the Jets’ players .
Let’s see how the Lions do against the Bears as I hear Jay Cutler is looking to upstage Matt Stafford ?
October 7th, 2011 at 10:43 am
Dude, I’m not sure what Namath’s problem is, but he needs to stfu. Nobody cares if you don’t like Sanchez or Ryan, it’s not like he’s coming with solutions, just criticism…
October 7th, 2011 at 11:04 am
Sanchez has been gettin’ …. “much tail “ since he landed in New York . Beyond a Superbowl win , memorable for the Jet’s fans who can still remember it . But all ” Broadway Joe” is now known for …. is wanting to lay one on Suzy Kolber . Granted , he was cut two sheets to the wind at the time ………. booze and pills just don’t mix ! Ask Conrad Murray as he ought to know having aided Michael Jackson in the same way Kevorkian aided his patients .
October 6th, 2011 at 2:37 pm
Good job guys, Chappy i am going to go ahead and say that your New Orleans bet is right on the money…….And i hope for fantasy football sake that BY is correct about the eagles because i need vick to start going lol. I am in an eliminator pool and i am 4-4 so far but this week seems like a tough task. Knowing i cant use New England New York Giants, San Diego, or Green Bay who seems like the best pick for this week straight up to win a game no points?
October 7th, 2011 at 10:46 am
I think you might have answered your own question, New Orleans!! I’m going with the Giants in my eliminator pool this weekend…
October 6th, 2011 at 2:58 pm
Funny how nobody in Texas cares about that Ron Washington (sniff) issue anymore…
October 7th, 2011 at 10:58 am
It is kinda funny how nobody brings it up anymore when some were so outraged when they found out. Maybe he cleaned himself up with Hamilton, and now all is forgiven. Actually it’s probably just because in the age we live a story that broke two years ago is pretty much an eternity ago…
October 6th, 2011 at 7:24 pm
I go Detroit over Chicago also, who can stop Megatron and Stafford?
October 7th, 2011 at 6:28 am
It is possible the “sniff” stuff is now legal in Texas. I think they seceded from the States awhile back…
October 7th, 2011 at 1:37 pm
Yeah, but Washington is black, which is still illegal in some parts of Texas.
October 7th, 2011 at 1:06 pm
This is one of those funky weeks in the NFL where the good teams play the good teams, the bad ones play the bad ones and the middle of the pack plays, well, ya know.
I have yet to make my eliminator picks yet but you guys helped me a little here.
Still undecided as one of my pools make you pick TWO games this week. Bastards!
I like the G-Men, but that leaves me with two more to go and I’ve already picked the likes of the Steelers.
Any other suggestions?
October 7th, 2011 at 3:38 pm
I would love to see the Chargers lose and not hear a single mention of Tebow during the game…but even as a Bronco fan, I can’t do it. Their defense is so old and so terrible, they might as well just have Doom and Von Miller out there for all the good everybody else is doing. Good picks, here’s mine:
October 8th, 2011 at 10:39 am
Sincerest condolences to the fans of the Raiders out there with the death of Al Davis ! He’s the signature face of the franchise but he was at the height of his fame … clearly a man of integrity !
Courtesy of NY Times .
Raiders’ owner Al Davis dies at the age of 82
October 10th, 2011 at 12:10 pm
Who’d have guessed that the Niners would come close to puttin’ up a five spot on the Bucs’ defense ?
Great win for the Raiders in what was an emotional day for the fans , organization and players .