Chappy: Whoa, in By’s absence, I almost had a perfect week if I hadn’t stupidly gone against the Packers on Thanksgiving. This week we both decided to skip the Thursday game altogether… I’m creeping in on my best gambling season since the first year I started betting on the games. Naturally winning a lot that first season got me hooked for life, but this year may have gotten me more into it than ever. Enough of my
bragging babbling and onto this weeks picks!
By: Sucks that I was too swamped at work to put in my thoughts on the match ups last week. But with Chappy going 6-1, the hot streak continues for the Doin Work team, as both of us remain well over .500. Not much else to say other than enjoy our picks, and onto the lines!
Last Week: Chappy (6-1)
Overall: Chappy (36-23-4) By (26-17)
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (-7)
Chappy picks Cincinnati (+7). For some strange reason I’m really confident in this pick. I almost feel like taking the moneyline on this game, but that’s probably not going to happen when I can take a touchdown. The Steelers are coming in banged up with Big Ben’s finger that he injured more in practice, Polamalu’s head, and Woodley’s hammy. The Bengals on the other hand have basically nobody hurt, and are healthier than any team I can think of off the top of my head. Oh and the Bengals are road warriors this year, going 5-0 against the spread. Will Cincy win and keep their playoff hopes alive? I can’t say they will, but it will definitely be a closer than a TD type game.
Atlanta @ Houston (+2.5)
Chappy picks Atlanta (-2.5). I think every week I write that a team is overlooked, and this week is no different as I think Atlanta has really rounded into form, and they catch a huge break playing against a third string QB in T.J. Yates. As if the Texans weren’t predictable enough before with their offensive scheme, now they might run 85% of the time. I see the Texans franchise long 5-game winning streak coming to an end as Matt Ryan puts up some big numbers on a defense that is on the field too much during this game.
By picks Atlanta (-2.5). Atlanta isn’t the best of road teams, but they’re definitely a talented bunch, with enough weapons to compete against the Saints or Packers in a slugfest on any given Sunday. But the fact that this game is considered an even bet, when Houston will most likely start a third string quarterback in T.J. Yates speaks volume on the balance this Texans team has. We all know of the two headed monster in the backfield with Foster and Tate, Andre Johnson is back and closing in all full strength, but it’s Houston’s underrated defense that steadies the ship in my opinion. With all that said, I can’t see the Texans holding off the Falcons with whoever they throw in at quarterback this weekend. That’s just too much to overcome when considering their opponent.
Oakland @ Miami (-3)
By picks Oakland (+3). Miami has been very tough lately, and prior to the Dallas game last Thanksgiving, their defense has been rather stiff. In fact, even in that game, they had Tony Romo against the ropes for the greater portion of that game. Offensively, Matt Moore looks just as effective, if not more effective than Chad Henne did earlier in the season. And don’t look now, but is that Reggie Bush shouldering the load as the lead back? Unfortunately Miami is facing an Oakland team that has yet to peak, but is coming off an impressive win against a then streaking Bears team. When Carson Palmer finally clicks with his receivers, watch out! The one thing the Raiders can hang their hat on, is that running game. Darren McWho? Michael Bush has filled in and at times outshined DMac. And I expect more of the same this week. Raiders by 7.
Denver @ Minnesota (PK)
By picks Denver (PK). I’m sorry, but I can’t explain the Tebow phenomenon. Like I’ve said in the past, I’ve been a Tebow fan, and I knew of what he was capable of doing in college purely on his will to compete, but this is the NFL. This is the elite among the elite. And according to the experts, Tebow is not supposed to be successful at this level. Well he’s 5-1 as a starter this year and has a once dead Broncos team in the hunt for a playoff spot. It’s tough to bet on a west coast team travelling east, but the fact that one side has a hobbled AP, and the other an improbable winner, I like my chances with the latter. God’s QB delivers again.
Baltimore @ Cleveland (+6.5)
Chappy picks Baltimore (-6.5). As much as I hate to pick the Ravens after a big win after they seem to usually choke against a crap team like the Browns, but not this weekend. I don’t see how they can play down to the Browns level even if they are division rivals. I think what makes me think they won’t play down to the competition is they get a few extra days to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving. Peyton Hillis might be back, but that won’t help as much since he’s been a huge disappointment all year long and the Ravens are pretty good at stuffing the run lately…
Green Bay @ New York Giants (+7)
Chappy picks Green Bay (-7). There’s one way to stop Aaron Rodgers, and that is to knock him out of the game. Without Osi in the lineup, I don’t forsee any Rodgers concussions. The Packers also had some extra time to prepare for the Giants, which makes me think they’ll do what the Saints did to their defense. I was watching some highlights of Rodgers that Kurt Warner went through, and it looks like he channeled some inner Brett Favre with a little Peyton mixed in. Favre in that he was taking risks, and Peyton in that he always makes the right choice on where to throw the ball. If the Pack get out to a big lead, don’t be surprised to see the boo birds coming out in NY as their team gives up early in the third quarter.
By picks Green Bay (-7). I know this is essentially a must win for Eli Manning and the Giants. And I know they’ll be playing at the New Meadowlands. But I just can’t bet against Aaron Rodgers. He’s the clear cut favorite for MVP this season, so much so that if you a bet a dollar on him to win the award right now in Vegas, and he does win it, you lose a dollar. I know it’s standard protocol for a team flirting with perfection to not talk about the potential feat, but there’s something about the way the Pack carry themselves that makes me think they’re really going to go for it. And aside from the Saints game on opening night, I must say, they haven’t been truly threatened to lose yet. If Drew Brees ripped apart the Giants secondary, what do you think Rodgers might do? Pack, big.
Detroit @ New Orleans (-9)
Chappy picks New Orleans (-9). It’s hard not to like what the Saints have been doing at home this year putting up 40+ ppg. No need to tell you about all their weapons, because that might take as long as this entire post to break down. One other thing you have to be excited about with the Saints is they are pretty much completely healthy. The Lions have fallen back into the team they’ve been for the past few decades. An undisciplined bunch that finds ways to lose. They kinda remind me of the Raiders last year, improving, but just not quite there yet in terms of maturity (not that the Raiders are mature this year). The Saints are there, and will roll them up in the Sunday night late game.
December 2nd, 2011 at 1:33 pm
I am laughing so freakin’ hard after last night’s ” mess” with the Eagles and Seahawks ! Who knew that Vince Young would now make even JaMarcus Russell seem relevant in terms of their respective careers ?
Will Favre rises from the ashes to lead the Texans as Kubiak might just throw him a bone ?
I know that there was really bad and turbulent weather within the state of California . Did it cause any major damage in your area ?
And what’s this about the Lakers looking to acquire Kris Humphries ? Doesn’t Jerry Buss now realize that Kim K now is back on “the market” and he doesn’t need to go on the prowl like a horny hound dog ?
The Jags won’t be leaving Florida as the new owner stated he doesn’t want to relocate the team. At the same time the Jags owe the city of Jacksonville and the county government (Duval County) close to $150 million . Their lease for the stadium doesn’t expire until 2027 and I seriously doubt that the league hierarchy (owners ) would want to be on the hook for that and any relocation costs . And that’s even with the new owner (Shahid Khan) in his purchase also assuming a large chunk of debt in paying $700 million plus for a lower tiered ad market NFL franchise .
December 2nd, 2011 at 2:35 pm
Gotta give a little credit to the Seahawks, and Beast Mode! I still think Vince is twice the QB Jamarcus was, because he had a lot more wins, and well kept in shape for the most part.
No damage in my area, I saw a bunch of pictures on FB though that were pretty insane from friends that had trees and stuff fall over…
Interesting to see the Lakers going for a big man. Seems like they should be going for a PG instead…
December 2nd, 2011 at 3:42 pm
Are you saying that JR’s cholestrol level is not higher than Young’s IQ ? Or vice versa ?
December 2nd, 2011 at 3:38 pm
Can’t deny the fact that the Seahawks played their as##s off last night ! But damn are the Eagles really that bad ! I might have to now add Andy Reid’s name to the ” list of coaches” who must go ……….. I repeat who most definitely should … be fired or damn well executed for the ineptitude shown ! They’re about as desirable in the NFL landscape as the entire cast of the ” Jersey Shore ” would be welcomed in a parochial school or Kim K on the prowl in a room full of athletes as she looks for her next victim !
Skank needs a __ck and not much beyond that !
The Lakers are in need of a great deal in terms of real players beyond Gasol and Bryant . As they are so many missing pieces to that entire roster . PG , GF and a center that’s worth a damn ! Bynum on his best day can’t even look good much less lead that team in the absence of either Gasol or Bryant being on the bench for a breather much less anything else !
Mike Brown had better get this team deep into the playoffs this upcoming season or his tenure with the Lakers could be shortlived .
The free agents who are superfluous to the organization will be jettisoned by Kupchak .
Lakers’ salary commitments ……… Cap hits
December 5th, 2011 at 11:49 pm
Who in their right mind would pick against Denver these days? Vegas must be taking a bath every time they make the Broncos underdogs.
And stay tuned, I’ll have my O/U contest standings up soon.
December 7th, 2011 at 9:46 am
If at all interested ?
An NFL Season By Any Other Name ………….
It Takes Two To Tango But Only One Idiot To Make Things Look Really Bad !
December 8th, 2011 at 10:42 am
What does it tell you about the Bears when the front office is now contemplating sending out a call to either Favre or McNabb ?
So Magic Johnson is the latest to show his interest in making a serious pursuit to buy the Dodgers ? Let me know what you think ?
It Takes Two To Tango But Only One Idiot To Make Things Look Really Bad !
December 8th, 2011 at 1:17 pm
The way Hanie played last week, I don’t blame them…
December 8th, 2011 at 3:48 pm
Hanie actually played ? I thought that was meant to Cutler’s backup , not his brutha’ from another mother ? Mike Martz must’ve been really p_#sed ! Though Martz says he has no intention of leaving his offensive coordinator job to take another NFL coaching position should one arise . Yeah ! I’ll believe that when I see it !
For $4-$5 million a season Mike Martz would sh#t bricks if it meant he could land a head coaching position in the NFL !