Chappy: It took six weeks, but I finally had a crappy one. Hopefully this dream start to the season with my picks isn’t just a footnote on the way to an average year. It was nice to have my one win be the Raiders game. I’ll take a 1-3-1 every week if the Raiders are the sole win!
By: Feels good to be back on the winning side after going 3-1 last week. I feel the last two or three weeks have had the toughest lines I can remember. After finally seeing this week’s lines, I can breathe a sigh of relief. These seem doable. With that said, I only pick the locks baby … on to the lines ~
Last week: By (3-1) Chap (1-3-1)
Overall: By (13-11) Chap (16-10-3)
Chicago vs. Tampa Bay (+1)
Chappy picks Tampa Bay (+1). It’s tough to feel good about picking a game in London, especially with two erractic teams that seem hard to figure out where exactly they are through six weeks of the season. The Tampa win over New Orleans impressed me to the point that I’m going to pick them. Even without Blount in the lineup they amassed 117 yards rushing. If Freeman can stay patient and dink and dunk his way down the field without making any interceptions this is a lock. Well, unless they for some strange reason decide to kick to Hester.
Washington @ Carolina (-2.5)
By picks Camolina (-2.5). Carolina ran into a determined Atlanta team last week, but still kept it close late until the Falcons pulled away by 14. Amazingly, that’s exactly how much I said the Dirty Birds would win by. The return of Bystradamus? Before I get carried away, let’s look at this week’s match up for the Panthers, and why this is a lock for them to cover. First and foremost, Cam Newton. Second, Mike Shanahan, or in the fantasy world, Lucifer, has been carouseling running backs in the lineup all season for the Skins. It’s a disaster back there. Now, albeit inevitably, it’s the quarterbacks’ turn. John Beck won’t throw as many picks as Rex “Gross, Man” but he’ll win the same amount of games for you this season. Which is close to nothing moving forward. I know Washington got off to a good start, but unlike the Bills, we knew it would fall apart for them. Camolina at home against a team in full disarray, I got to like my chances with the Panthers.
Chappy picks Carolina (-2.5). I expected more from Carolina last weekend against the Falcons, but I think the Falcons were out to prove that they are still contenders, so Cam alone wouldn’t be enough stop them. This weekend he takes on a very solid Washington defense, the only problem for Washington is they’re starting John Beck. Not that I liked Grossman or anything, but he seemed like a better option to me even with his ugly 4 int performance. At the beginning of the year I didn’t think I’d be picking Carolina in any games, but they truly are a different team than last year…
Denver @ Miami (-1)
Chappy picks Miami (-1). This game wouldn’t be hyped at all if it wasn’t Tebow’s first start of the season and his return to Florida, but both those things are happening so it’s all of a sudden a big game. I actually thought the Dolphins looked good for a half against the Jets, and you know Marshall is going to get fired up to play his old team trying to go into monster mode as often as possible. If there’s one weakness in Denver’s defense, it’s their ability to stop the run. Consequently that’s one of the only things Miami does well. Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas should have big games on their way to a win. Tebow might do well, but I don’t see them winning.
By picks Tebow (+1). I’m waiting for Brandon Marshall to say he’s trying to get thrown out of this game during warm ups in attempt to show how much passion he has playing for a winless team. If that happens, Denver’s the sexy pick all the way. Wait, Timmy Tebow’s starting!?!? Then Denver is already the sexy pick! All jokes aside, I’ve been a huge Tebow fan for two reasons: One, he’s a great leader, and his actions speak louder than his words. Two, he’s the second sports legend to come out of the Philippines! (Yeah, I claim him as Filipino). But, when it’s all said and done, Tebow knows how to win. Screw the mechanics, screw the intangibles, this guy gets the job done. Check his track record. Denver can afford him this opportunity, and he will stand and deliver. At least this week. Against a winless team.
Atlanta @ Detroit (-4)
By picks Detroit (-4). I think I’m the only one who thinks the Jim Harbaugh/Jim Schwartz fiasco was entirely blown out of proportion. And I’m probably the only San Francisco fan that thinks Harbaugh gave a douche of a handshake. Yeah Schwartz acted like a little sissy brat, but there’s a lot of pride involved in football, and you don’t let another man belittle you like that. With all that said, Harbaugh in the 3rd. Now back to Detroit. They must be pissed, not only to get their first loss last week, but in the matter in which they received it. I’m weary of picking them here with the status of Jahvid Best still in the air, but I think the spread offense, as well as Stafford to Megatron is still enough to propel the Lions at home versus the Falcons. It’s hard to make a read on this Atlanta team this season, the verdict is still out on them. But I don’t trust them on the road this season one bit. Detroit by 6.
Pittsburgh @ Arizona (+4)
Chappy picks Pittsburgh (-4). The Steelers are getting a little old, but their not old to the point where they’ll lose to the Cardinals. Missing Jerome Harrison due to a tumor might hurt their defense a little, but then again you don’t need a lot to beat this team. The Steelers either blow a team out or play down to their competition. I feel like they’ll blow out AZ the same way they did in the Super Bowl two years back. Mike Wallace is a little dinged up, but with Pittsburgh finally getting the running game going, it probably doesn’t matter.
By picks Oakland (-4.5). Oakland’s a team on the rise, and their about to get better with the addition of Carson Palmer. Can you imagine Palmer clicking with all his weapons with the speed and talent this Raiders offense has? I really think San Diego’s reign over the AFC West is in jeopardy, like right now. Hue Jackson has proven why the Raiders looked no further than within when hiring a replacement for Tom Cable. His play calling has been spot on this season, and his attitude is refreshing. It’s nice to see both Bay Area teams succeeding this year. As far as this week’s match up, what’s not to like with the Silver & Black? They’re home, they’re hot, they’ve got a real threat at quarterback, an excellent coach, game breakers on offense and they’re playing the Chiefs. To me, -5 sounds like a trap game line, but I’m confident Oakland won’t disappoint.
Chappy picks Oakland (-4.5). I think I’m already a little tired of hearing about whether Palmer should or shouldn’t start. Who gives us a better chance to win? I’d say Carson after one week of practice over Boller playing backup for the season. We always waste our timeouts anyways, so if he isn’t sure on a play use one! And really how hard is it going to be for him to turn around and hand off the ball to McFadden and Bush? Seems like an easy game plan to me without putting a ton of pressure on him. On the other side, the Chiefs have rattled off two straight wins, but they were against the Colts and Vikings, who we all know are about as bad as it gets in opponents. I’m somewhat worried about this Chiefs squad, mainly because they’re coming off the bye week. Then again the Raiders will probably give them a lot of new looks with their new QB at the helm.
Baltimore @ Jacksonville (+8)
Chappy picks Baltimore (-8). I think I’d still pick Baltimore if the spread was 14. Baltimore is possibly the team to beat in the AFC, and have put up 33 per game during their 3 game win streak. Conversely Jacksonville has only scored 11 points per game during their five game losing streak. This is probably THE easiest pick of the week. Ride with it to some money!!